Ozempic has the potential to influence the global economy significantly. Its remarkable success has propelled manufacturer Novo Nordisk to the forefront of European business, making it the largest corporation in the European Union with a value exceeding half a trillion US dollars. Notably, it has contributed substantially to Denmark’s recent economic growth.

While obesity currently ranks below smoking and war as a global threat, its prevalence has surged since the 1970s, becoming an epidemic exacerbated by sedentary lifestyles and a shift towards processed foods. The World Health Organization reports a nearly threefold increase in global obesity since 1975, affecting almost 400 million children.

Previously considered a problem exclusive to developed nations, obesity has now become a global issue, penetrating even urbanized areas in traditionally considered second or third world countries. Paradoxically, the food industry’s decades-long efforts to create addictive, processed products have inadvertently fueled a thriving industry dedicated to combating obesity’s effects.

The emergence of drugs like Ozempic poses a dual threat to this lucrative cycle. While evidence remains inconclusive, there are anecdotal reports suggesting these medications may curb indulgence in food, alcohol, nicotine, and opioids. If substantiated, this could trigger a substantial shift in demand, affecting both the products that contributed to the problem and those designed to combat its consequences.

Although Ozempic is intended for diabetic patients in Canada, its “off-label use for weight loss” has led to unprecedented demand, causing shortages. The scarcity has prompted other pharmaceutical companies to race towards developing similar medications, potentially offering a solution to the global obesity crisis.

Analysts and money managers are not only considering the direct impact on these companies but also exploring broader implications. If these drugs can reverse the trend of global obesity, there could be profound effects on the economy. Society may require less food per person, leading to reduced healthcare spending. While companies in the food and healthcare sectors may face challenges, this shift could result in a macroeconomic boost by achieving greater productivity with fewer resources.

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